What is the success rate of MACD?

MACD's success rate ranges roughly 40% in choppy markets to 60-70% in trending ones, with optimized backtested strategies showing higher figures.

In trending markets, MACD's success rate hovers around 60-70%; in sideways markets, it drops to about 40%; the key is knowing when to use it and when to step aside.

One study tested the traditional MACD (12,26,9) and found a poor success rate of 32.14 percent for DOW 30 stocks and 32.73 percent for NASDAQ-100 stocks over the 1989-1999 period. Performance lifts sharply when MACD is paired with a trend filter.